Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kasper wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs Thompson 42.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Kasper leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Kasper 79.6%
Defensive zone
Kasper 80.0%
Neutral zone
Kasper 77.2%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Kasper
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
3
(17 meetings)
14
3
Kasper
Thompson
Last 10: Kasper 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kasper
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
5
1
Kasper
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
7
0
Kasper
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
42.9% (3,540)
+4.3%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
46.9% (373)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
33.6% (265)
-3.0%
On even strength, Kasper has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kasper is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Kasper shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Kasper
Thompson
Home
49.4% (474)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
44.2% (554)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Kasper
Thompson
P1
48.0%
44.4%
P2
51.0%
43.7%
P3
40.2%
40.0%
OT
66.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
40.7%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |