Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Rossi wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs McTavish 50.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 61.9%
Defensive zone
McTavish 66.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 67.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Rossi
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Rossi
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
51.1% (769)
-4.6%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
50.6% (178)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
28.6% (14)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Rossi shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Rossi
McTavish
Home
47.5% (520)
52.3% (461)
Away
46.0% (472)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Rossi
McTavish
P1
47.8%
51.5%
P2
44.2%
54.0%
P3
48.7%
47.1%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.8%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
50.7%