Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs McTavish 48.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 63.7%
Defensive zone
McTavish 64.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 66.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Rossi
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Rossi
McTavish
Last 7: Rossi 5-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
4
2
Rossi
McTavish
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
0
Rossi
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
48.2% (2,790)
-1.4%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
52.8% (436)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
34.3% (35)
-0.2%
On power play, McTavish has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Rossi shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
Home / Away
Rossi
McTavish
Home
47.8% (1,225)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Rossi
McTavish
P1
47.1%
50.0%
P2
44.7%
47.7%
P3
48.2%
48.4%
OT
45.8%
43.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |