Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Rossi wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Frost 51.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 77.2%
Defensive zone
Frost 54.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 57.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Rossi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rossi
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
50.3% (825)
-3.8%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
54.9% (204)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
On power play, Frost has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Rossi shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Rossi
Frost
Home
47.5% (520)
50.7% (489)
Away
46.0% (472)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Rossi
Frost
P1
47.8%
53.6%
P2
44.2%
47.8%
P3
48.7%
52.0%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.8%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |