Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Frost 50.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 77.2%
Defensive zone
Frost 56.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 59.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Rossi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Rossi
Frost
Last 10: Rossi 4-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
4
Rossi
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
4
1
Rossi
Frost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
49.7% (3,652)
-2.9%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
55.4% (632)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
55.0% (40)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Rossi shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Rossi
Frost
Home
47.8% (1,225)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Rossi
Frost
P1
47.1%
51.2%
P2
44.7%
51.3%
P3
48.2%
48.8%
OT
45.8%
64.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |