Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 49.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 66.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 62.1%
Neutral zone
Rossi 50.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Rossi
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Rossi
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Rossi
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
49.7% (292)
+1.9%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
50.0% (6)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
47.2% (36)
-10.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Rossi shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Rossi
Bjugstad
Home
50.0% (260)
48.7% (193)
Away
49.2% (244)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Rossi
Bjugstad
P1
53.7%
41.5%
P2
47.6%
57.3%
P3
47.4%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |