Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Rossi wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 79.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 61.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Rossi
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Rossi
Bjugstad
Last 10: Rossi 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
5
Rossi
Bjugstad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
8
1
Rossi
Bjugstad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
48.6% (6,646)
-1.8%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
55.2% (829)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
44.3% (614)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Rossi is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Rossi shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Rossi
Bjugstad
Home
47.8% (1,225)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Rossi
Bjugstad
P1
47.1%
48.9%
P2
44.7%
49.1%
P3
48.2%
48.5%
OT
45.8%
61.3%
Final 5 min
44.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |