Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 69.5%
Defensive zone
Rossi 66.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 50.4%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Rossi
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rossi
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Rossi
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
45.9% (697)
+5.7%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
47.9% (117)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
48.0% (25)
-11.0%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Rossi shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Rossi
Schmaltz
Home
50.0% (260)
44.9% (434)
Away
49.2% (244)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Rossi
Schmaltz
P1
53.7%
41.5%
P2
47.6%
46.7%
P3
47.4%
51.1%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |