Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rossi wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 54.0%
Defensive zone
Rossi 72.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 76.4%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Rossi
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Rossi
Schmaltz
Last 10: Rossi 7-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
2
Rossi
Schmaltz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
0
Rossi
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
41.3% (3,431)
+5.5%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
47.3% (655)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
47.4% (135)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Rossi is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Rossi shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Rossi
Schmaltz
Home
47.8% (1,225)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Rossi
Schmaltz
P1
47.1%
41.3%
P2
44.7%
42.8%
P3
48.2%
43.1%
OT
45.8%
42.4%
Final 5 min
44.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 15:08 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |