Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Zacha 51.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 75.5%
Defensive zone
Rossi 63.1%
Neutral zone
Rossi 68.5%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Rossi
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Rossi
Zacha
Last 6: Rossi 0-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Rossi
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Rossi
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Rossi
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
53.0% (700)
-1.4%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
54.1% (109)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
39.2% (74)
-2.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Rossi
Zacha
Home
50.0% (260)
51.6% (438)
Away
49.2% (244)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Rossi
Zacha
P1
53.7%
57.0%
P2
47.6%
48.9%
P3
47.4%
50.5%
OT
40.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
44.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |