Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Zacha 49.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 69.9%
Defensive zone
Rossi 65.7%
Neutral zone
Rossi 68.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Rossi
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Rossi
Zacha
Last 10: Rossi 1-9 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
6
Rossi
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
4
Rossi
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
4
Rossi
Zacha
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
48.9% (5,156)
-2.1%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
55.7% (813)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
42.2% (557)
-8.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Rossi shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Rossi
Zacha
Home
47.8% (1,225)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Rossi
Zacha
P1
47.1%
49.9%
P2
44.7%
49.2%
P3
48.2%
48.2%
OT
45.8%
53.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |