Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.5% vs O'Reilly 54.7% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Rossi
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (283)
54.6% (669)
-2.3%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
57.3% (171)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
56.3% (87)
-21.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Rossi is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Rossi shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Rossi
O'Reilly
Home
46.5% (157)
56.4% (486)
Away
51.9% (185)
54.0% (441)
By Period
Rossi
O'Reilly
P1
56.0%
55.3%
P2
48.2%
53.4%
P3
43.6%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
49.4%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%