Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Strome 45.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 52.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 55.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 53.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Rossi
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rossi
Strome
Last 5: Rossi 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Rossi
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
45.4% (315)
+6.2%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
35.7% (28)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
50.0% (4)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Rossi shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Rossi
Strome
Home
50.0% (260)
42.6% (188)
Away
49.2% (244)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Rossi
Strome
P1
53.7%
38.6%
P2
47.6%
48.4%
P3
47.4%
46.2%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |