Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Rossi wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Strome 44.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 56.5%
Defensive zone
Rossi 50.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 61.2%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Rossi
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Rossi
Strome
Last 10: Rossi 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
5
Rossi
Strome
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
6
5
Rossi
Strome
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
5
2
Rossi
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
44.2% (6,887)
+2.6%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
49.2% (855)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
41.5% (410)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Rossi is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Rossi shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Rossi
Strome
Home
47.8% (1,225)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Rossi
Strome
P1
47.1%
43.9%
P2
44.7%
45.4%
P3
48.2%
44.4%
OT
45.8%
46.3%
Final 5 min
44.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |