Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 55.1%
Defensive zone
Rossi 65.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 52.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Rossi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rossi
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
57.1% (368)
-5.5%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
55.2% (96)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
50.0% (10)
-13.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Rossi shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Rossi
Stamkos
Home
50.0% (260)
53.9% (230)
Away
49.2% (244)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Rossi
Stamkos
P1
53.7%
56.7%
P2
47.6%
54.1%
P3
47.4%
59.2%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.5%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |