Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rossi wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 81.5%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 78.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 71.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Rossi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Rossi
Stamkos
Last 10: Rossi 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
0
Rossi
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
50.5% (9,825)
-3.7%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
55.2% (1,729)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
49.6% (827)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Rossi is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Rossi shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Rossi
Stamkos
Home
47.8% (1,225)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Rossi
Stamkos
P1
47.1%
49.2%
P2
44.7%
52.7%
P3
48.2%
50.9%
OT
45.8%
54.3%
Final 5 min
44.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |