Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Hertl 54.3% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 59.0%
Defensive zone
Rossi 57.2%
Neutral zone
Rossi 60.1%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Rossi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Rossi
Hertl
Last 10: Rossi 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Rossi
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
2
Rossi
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Rossi
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
53.9% (8,303)
-7.1%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
59.2% (1,995)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
46.3% (806)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Rossi shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Rossi
Hertl
Home
47.8% (1,225)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Rossi
Hertl
P1
47.1%
53.6%
P2
44.7%
54.2%
P3
48.2%
55.3%
OT
45.8%
46.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |