Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.5% vs Hertl 54.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 70.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 71.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 63.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Rossi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Rossi
Hertl
Last 9: Rossi 5-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
2
Rossi
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (2,023)
53.6% (8,077)
-7.0%
Power Play
47.6% (185)
59.7% (1,916)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
46.0% (793)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rossi is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,454).
Rossi shoots left. Hertl is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,755).
Home / Away
Rossi
Hertl
Home
47.1% (1,122)
55.6% (5,217)
Away
45.6% (1,129)
52.7% (5,569)
By Period
Rossi
Hertl
P1
47.0%
53.6%
P2
44.5%
53.9%
P3
47.6%
55.1%
OT
47.8%
46.8%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.4%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |