Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Rossi wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Johnston 50.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 69.2%
Defensive zone
Johnston 67.4%
Neutral zone
Rossi 53.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Rossi
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rossi
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Rossi
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
50.7% (552)
-6.2%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
61.5% (13)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
43.5% (69)
-43.5%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Rossi is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Rossi shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Rossi
Johnston
Home
46.8% (385)
50.3% (342)
Away
42.6% (364)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Rossi
Johnston
P1
42.8%
54.4%
P2
43.9%
47.2%
P3
47.4%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
37.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
44.7%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |