Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.5% vs Johnston 48.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 58.8%
Defensive zone
Rossi 51.1%
Neutral zone
Rossi 56.0%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Rossi
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rossi
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (283)
47.2% (458)
+5.1%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
50.9% (55)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
51.6% (31)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Rossi is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Rossi shoots left. Johnston is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Rossi
Johnston
Home
46.5% (157)
47.7% (243)
Away
51.9% (185)
47.8% (301)
By Period
Rossi
Johnston
P1
56.0%
48.0%
P2
48.2%
48.2%
P3
43.6%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
49.4%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |