Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Johnston 48.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 60.1%
Defensive zone
Rossi 56.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 58.1%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Rossi
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Rossi
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
47.3% (666)
+4.3%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
50.7% (69)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
51.4% (35)
-14.4%
On power play, Johnston has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Rossi shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Rossi
Johnston
Home
50.0% (260)
47.5% (364)
Away
49.2% (244)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Rossi
Johnston
P1
53.7%
49.4%
P2
47.6%
46.9%
P3
47.4%
47.1%
OT
40.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
44.5%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |