Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Gourde 46.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 71.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 66.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.0%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Rossi
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rossi
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Rossi
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
47.2% (687)
+4.4%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
45.0% (20)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
33.0% (88)
+4.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Rossi
Gourde
Home
50.0% (260)
44.4% (356)
Away
49.2% (244)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Rossi
Gourde
P1
53.7%
42.2%
P2
47.6%
50.0%
P3
47.4%
44.5%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |