Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 68.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 51.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 59.1%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Rossi
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Rossi
Gourde
Last 10: Rossi 2-8 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
9
Rossi
Gourde
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
48.4% (4,987)
-1.6%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
57.4% (376)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
40.0% (555)
-5.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Rossi shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Rossi
Gourde
Home
47.8% (1,225)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Rossi
Gourde
P1
47.1%
49.8%
P2
44.7%
47.5%
P3
48.2%
47.5%
OT
45.8%
37.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | OT | 02:16 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |