Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.2% vs Monahan 52.5% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 56.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 63.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.2%
Result
Marcus Foligno favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Foligno
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Foligno
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Foligno
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (15)
53.0% (874)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
47.5% (101)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Foligno is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Foligno shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Foligno
Monahan
Home
50.0% (12)
53.8% (558)
Away
37.5% (8)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Foligno
Monahan
P1
16.7%
49.5%
P2
85.7%
54.8%
P3
28.6%
52.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
45.0%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |