Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Johansson wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 48.0% vs Duchene 52.1% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.1%
Defensive zone
Johansson 63.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Johansson
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (41)
53.9% (193)
-7.6%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
49.2% (65)
-24.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Johansson is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Johansson shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Johansson
Duchene
Home
40.9% (22)
54.9% (113)
Away
46.7% (30)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Johansson
Duchene
P1
50.0%
54.9%
P2
45.0%
52.7%
P3
30.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
30.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
26.0%▼
37.0%
44.2%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.9%