Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 48.3% vs Duchene 51.8% (-14.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 57.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 59.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Johansson
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (12)
51.1% (366)
-9.4%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
61.5% (65)
-36.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Johansson is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Johansson shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Johansson
Duchene
Home
25.0% (8)
51.7% (201)
Away
50.0% (8)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Johansson
Duchene
P1
62.5%
49.0%
P2
25.0%
57.1%
P3
0.0%
49.2%
Final 5 min
66.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
26.0%▼
37.0%
37.5%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%