Marcus Johansson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 48.3% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-17.9%)
Offensive zone
Johansson 51.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 71.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 59.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Johansson
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (12)
55.7% (856)
-14.0%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
57.5% (233)
-32.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Johansson is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Johansson shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Johansson
O'Reilly
Home
25.0% (8)
55.5% (616)
Away
50.0% (8)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Johansson
O'Reilly
P1
62.5%
58.1%
P2
25.0%
54.9%
P3
0.0%
53.9%
Final 5 min
66.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
26.0%▼
37.0%
37.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%