Marcus Johansson vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Johansson wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 41.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Johansson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 67.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 86.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 77.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 75.3%
24.7%
75.3%
Johansson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Johansson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Johansson 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
4
2
Johansson
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
1
Johansson
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Johansson
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (2,523)
56.2% (15,290)
-15.2%
Power Play
42.3% (352)
58.7% (3,457)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (80)
51.4% (2,826)
-15.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Johansson is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,939).
Johansson shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,901).
Home / Away
Johansson
O'Reilly
Home
42.7% (1,459)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
39.4% (1,520)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Johansson
O'Reilly
P1
42.7%
55.6%
P2
40.4%
57.0%
P3
40.5%
55.0%
OT
28.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
42.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
26.0%▼
37.0%
41.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |