Mark Jankowski vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 64.3%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 50.5%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Last 10: Jankowski 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
8
Jankowski
MacKinnon
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
7
6
Jankowski
MacKinnon
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
0
Jankowski
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,490)
46.1% (11,264)
+5.4%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
53.2% (1,421)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (534)
42.8% (502)
-0.1%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jankowski is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,570).
Jankowski shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
Home / Away
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Home
51.8% (1,961)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
49.1% (2,158)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Jankowski
MacKinnon
P1
49.8%
47.4%
P2
51.1%
46.6%
P3
50.3%
46.1%
OT
20.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 06:34 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |