Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Acciari 53.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 69.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 67.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 67.3%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Jankowski
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Jankowski
Acciari
Last 5: Jankowski 0-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Jankowski
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Jankowski
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Jankowski
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
54.5% (532)
+4.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
62.5% (8)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
48.8% (86)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Acciari
Home
54.7% (128)
56.2% (281)
Away
56.3% (215)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Jankowski
Acciari
P1
54.5%
53.4%
P2
56.5%
57.1%
P3
56.2%
51.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
55.7%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |