Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Acciari 50.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 81.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 86.6%
Neutral zone
Acciari 56.8%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Jankowski
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Jankowski
Acciari
Last 10: Jankowski 4-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jankowski
Acciari
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
4
Jankowski
Acciari
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
52.7% (313)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
33.3% (18)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
49.7% (195)
+4.6%
On power play, Jankowski has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Jankowski shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Acciari
Home
53.2% (331)
52.6% (291)
Away
54.2% (284)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Jankowski
Acciari
P1
52.7%
53.7%
P2
55.8%
51.1%
P3
52.5%
48.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |