Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Hartman 45.6% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 50.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 53.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Jankowski
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jankowski
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
45.1% (874)
+8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
47.4% (95)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
37.5% (16)
+16.8%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Jankowski shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Hartman
Home
53.2% (331)
45.0% (515)
Away
54.2% (284)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Jankowski
Hartman
P1
52.7%
47.3%
P2
55.8%
40.1%
P3
52.5%
48.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |