Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Hartman 45.4% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 68.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 69.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 70.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Jankowski
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Jankowski
Hartman
Last 10: Jankowski 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
4
Jankowski
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
3
Jankowski
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
4
Jankowski
Hartman
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,490)
45.2% (4,279)
+6.3%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
47.3% (446)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (534)
42.4% (262)
+0.3%
On power play, Jankowski has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Jankowski is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,570).
Jankowski shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Hartman
Home
51.8% (1,961)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
49.1% (2,158)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Jankowski
Hartman
P1
49.8%
46.1%
P2
51.1%
42.9%
P3
50.3%
46.7%
OT
20.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.7%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |