Mark Jankowski vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 82.5%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 79.2%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 78.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Last 10: Jankowski 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Jankowski
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
6
Jankowski
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
2
Jankowski
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,490)
56.2% (15,290)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
58.7% (3,457)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (534)
51.4% (2,826)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Jankowski shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,901).
Home / Away
Jankowski
O'Reilly
Home
51.8% (1,961)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
49.1% (2,158)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Jankowski
O'Reilly
P1
49.8%
55.6%
P2
51.1%
57.0%
P3
50.3%
55.0%
OT
20.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
52.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |