Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 74.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 72.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Jankowski
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Jankowski
Kuraly
Last 10: Jankowski 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
0
Jankowski
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
4
Jankowski
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
52.6% (464)
+1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
46.5% (155)
+7.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Jankowski shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Kuraly
Home
53.2% (331)
55.9% (322)
Away
54.2% (284)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Jankowski
Kuraly
P1
52.7%
55.9%
P2
55.8%
46.7%
P3
52.5%
50.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |