Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.4%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 71.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 64.7%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 54.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Jankowski
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
14
(25 meetings)
11
14
Jankowski
Kuraly
Last 10: Jankowski 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
5
1
Jankowski
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
9
Jankowski
Kuraly
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Jankowski
Kuraly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,490)
51.6% (5,161)
-0.1%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
56.4% (101)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (534)
44.4% (1,091)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Jankowski shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Kuraly
Home
51.8% (1,961)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
49.1% (2,158)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Jankowski
Kuraly
P1
49.8%
51.2%
P2
51.1%
50.0%
P3
50.3%
50.2%
OT
20.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |