Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Gourde 46.0% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 71.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 68.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.5%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Jankowski
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jankowski
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Jankowski
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
47.2% (687)
+6.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
45.0% (20)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
33.0% (88)
+21.3%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Jankowski shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Gourde
Home
53.2% (331)
44.4% (356)
Away
54.2% (284)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Jankowski
Gourde
P1
52.7%
42.2%
P2
55.8%
50.0%
P3
52.5%
44.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |