Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Gourde 48.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 66.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 70.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 67.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Jankowski
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Jankowski
Gourde
Last 10: Jankowski 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
5
2
Jankowski
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
1
Jankowski
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
3
Jankowski
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,490)
48.4% (4,987)
+3.1%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
57.4% (376)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (534)
40.0% (555)
+2.7%
On power play, Gourde has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Jankowski shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Gourde
Home
51.8% (1,961)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
49.1% (2,158)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Jankowski
Gourde
P1
49.8%
49.8%
P2
51.1%
47.5%
P3
50.3%
47.5%
OT
20.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |