Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kastelic wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.1% vs Domi 50.7% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 79.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 74.7%
Neutral zone
Domi 51.6%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Kastelic
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kastelic
Domi
Last 5: Kastelic 2-3 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Kastelic
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
1
Kastelic
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Kastelic
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (362)
50.0% (290)
+10.8%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
60.0% (30)
+23.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Kastelic shoots right. Domi is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Domi
Home
60.3% (242)
51.1% (184)
Away
59.2% (272)
50.7% (136)
By Period
Kastelic
Domi
P1
58.9%
46.7%
P2
57.3%
51.3%
P3
64.0%
55.1%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
66.4%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Domi
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Max Domi |