Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kastelic wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs Domi 48.8% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 78.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 88.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Kastelic
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Kastelic
Domi
Last 10: Kastelic 3-7 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
3
Kastelic
Domi
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
4
1
Kastelic
Domi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
3
Kastelic
Domi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,635)
48.1% (4,332)
+8.9%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
53.5% (636)
+26.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (279)
48.8% (41)
+5.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Kastelic shoots right. Domi is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,646).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Domi
Home
58.7% (904)
49.8% (2,614)
Away
55.2% (1,035)
47.8% (2,395)
By Period
Kastelic
Domi
P1
58.6%
48.7%
P2
56.5%
48.3%
P3
55.6%
49.7%
OT
53.8%
43.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Domi
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |