Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.1% vs Suzuki 50.6% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 81.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 87.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Kastelic
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kastelic
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Kastelic
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (362)
51.3% (945)
+9.5%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.7% (282)
+32.6%
Penalty Kill
56.2% (146)
40.3% (67)
+15.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Kastelic is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Kastelic shoots right. Suzuki is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Suzuki
Home
60.3% (242)
51.0% (637)
Away
59.2% (272)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Kastelic
Suzuki
P1
58.9%
53.1%
P2
57.3%
47.4%
P3
64.0%
51.3%
OT
53.8%
48.6%
Final 5 min
66.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |