Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 71.2% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.0% vs Suzuki 49.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 63.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 94.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 65.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 94.1%
94.1%
5.9%
Kastelic
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kastelic
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (281)
50.5% (701)
+10.4%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (212)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (115)
34.5% (55)
+22.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Kastelic is 71.2% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Kastelic shoots right. Suzuki is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Suzuki
Home
61.5% (208)
49.6% (486)
Away
58.2% (194)
49.4% (482)
By Period
Kastelic
Suzuki
P1
59.5%
51.1%
P2
59.7%
46.0%
P3
61.2%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
66.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
60.0%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |