Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.1% vs Zacha 51.8% (+7.7%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 77.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 50.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Kastelic
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (362)
53.0% (700)
+7.8%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
54.1% (109)
+29.2%
Penalty Kill
56.2% (146)
39.2% (74)
+17.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Kastelic shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Zacha
Home
60.3% (242)
51.6% (438)
Away
59.2% (272)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Kastelic
Zacha
P1
58.9%
57.0%
P2
57.3%
48.9%
P3
64.0%
50.5%
OT
53.8%
42.1%
Final 5 min
66.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%