Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.1% vs Krebs 45.4% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 84.7%
Defensive zone
Krebs 61.0%
Neutral zone
Krebs 74.2%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 84.7%
15.3%
84.7%
Kastelic
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kastelic
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Kastelic
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (362)
44.4% (403)
+16.4%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
33.3% (6)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
56.2% (146)
45.0% (20)
+11.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Kastelic shoots right. Krebs is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Krebs
Home
60.3% (242)
46.3% (205)
Away
59.2% (272)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Kastelic
Krebs
P1
58.9%
47.0%
P2
57.3%
45.4%
P3
64.0%
40.7%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
66.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |