Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.1% vs Steel 50.6% (+8.9%)
Offensive zone
Steel 68.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 76.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 53.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Kastelic
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (362)
52.5% (200)
+8.3%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
71.4% (7)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
56.2% (146)
40.0% (45)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Kastelic shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Steel
Home
60.3% (242)
49.5% (109)
Away
59.2% (272)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Kastelic
Steel
P1
58.9%
49.5%
P2
57.3%
47.5%
P3
64.0%
56.6%
OT
53.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
66.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%