Mark Kastelic vs Sean Couturier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kastelic wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs Couturier 52.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 72.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 70.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 50.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Kastelic
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Kastelic
Couturier
Last 10: Kastelic 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
4
Kastelic
Couturier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Kastelic
Couturier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
5
Kastelic
Couturier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,635)
52.5% (11,097)
+4.5%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
59.7% (1,280)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (279)
48.5% (1,823)
+5.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Kastelic shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,266).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Couturier
Home
58.7% (904)
53.4% (7,171)
Away
55.2% (1,035)
51.8% (7,036)
By Period
Kastelic
Couturier
P1
58.6%
52.6%
P2
56.5%
52.6%
P3
55.6%
52.9%
OT
53.8%
49.6%
Final 5 min
59.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:00 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |