Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +22.2% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 71.2% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.0% vs Wright 40.3% (+22.2%)
Offensive zone
Wright 74.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 87.3%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Kastelic
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (281)
37.2% (344)
+23.7%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
43.9% (41)
+39.4%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (115)
0.0% (1)
+56.5%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Kastelic is 71.2% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Kastelic shoots right. Wright is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Wright
Home
61.5% (208)
37.0% (211)
Away
58.2% (194)
38.9% (175)
By Period
Kastelic
Wright
P1
59.5%
37.5%
P2
59.7%
38.4%
P3
61.2%
38.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
66.3%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
60.0%
Wright
34.0%▼
36.5%
37.8%