Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +19.9% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.1% vs Wright 41.4% (+19.9%)
Offensive zone
Wright 78.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 84.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 57.3%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Kastelic
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (362)
39.7% (461)
+21.1%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
41.0% (61)
+42.3%
Penalty Kill
56.2% (146)
0.0% (1)
+56.2%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +56.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Kastelic is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Kastelic shoots right. Wright is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Wright
Home
60.3% (242)
39.5% (286)
Away
59.2% (272)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Kastelic
Wright
P1
58.9%
40.2%
P2
57.3%
36.7%
P3
64.0%
42.9%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
66.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%