Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 89.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 61.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 68.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Lazar
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lazar
Scheifele
Last 8: Lazar 3-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
4
Lazar
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
1
Lazar
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (286)
45.8% (1,011)
+8.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
51.7% (232)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (72)
47.8% (46)
-6.1%
On power play, Scheifele has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Lazar is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Scheifele is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Lazar
Scheifele
Home
53.1% (211)
50.4% (691)
Away
48.7% (150)
43.0% (598)
By Period
Lazar
Scheifele
P1
45.3%
46.7%
P2
52.8%
48.1%
P3
54.7%
46.3%
OT
60.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
58.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.2%
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |