Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 69.2%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 67.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 67.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Scheifele
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Scheifele
Suzuki
Last 10: Scheifele 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
1
Scheifele
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
4
Scheifele
Suzuki
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
8
Scheifele
Suzuki
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
51.3% (945)
-4.8%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
50.7% (282)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
40.3% (67)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Scheifele shoots right. Suzuki is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Suzuki
Home
46.6% (605)
51.0% (637)
Away
47.4% (555)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Scheifele
Suzuki
P1
52.3%
53.1%
P2
45.3%
47.4%
P3
43.9%
51.3%
OT
27.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |