Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 33 meetings). Scheifele wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 45-35 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 57.7%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 60.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 59.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Scheifele
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
45
(80 meetings)
35
45
Scheifele
Suzuki
Last 10: Scheifele 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
13
7
Scheifele
Suzuki
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
10
17
Scheifele
Suzuki
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
12
21
Scheifele
Suzuki
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,077)
49.4% (6,368)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.2% (2,576)
50.8% (1,355)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
44.0% (466)
-2.4%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Scheifele is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,390).
Scheifele shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Suzuki
Home
48.9% (7,678)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
44.7% (7,574)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Scheifele
Suzuki
P1
48.2%
48.9%
P2
45.6%
49.1%
P3
46.8%
50.3%
OT
42.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |