Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Acciari 50.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 92.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 89.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Scheifele
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Scheifele
Acciari
Last 8: Scheifele 4-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Scheifele
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Scheifele
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
52.7% (313)
-6.2%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
33.3% (18)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
49.7% (195)
+0.3%
On power play, Scheifele has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Scheifele shoots right. Acciari is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Acciari
Home
46.6% (605)
52.6% (291)
Away
47.4% (555)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Scheifele
Acciari
P1
52.3%
53.7%
P2
45.3%
51.1%
P3
43.9%
48.5%
OT
27.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 08:30 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |