Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings). Scheifele wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Acciari 51.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 24-14 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 93.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 62.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 74.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Scheifele
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
24
(38 meetings)
14
24
Scheifele
Acciari
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
6
3
Scheifele
Acciari
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
14
Scheifele
Acciari
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
6
7
Scheifele
Acciari
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,077)
52.8% (3,304)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.2% (2,576)
48.3% (87)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
47.0% (1,073)
-5.4%
On even strength, Acciari has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Scheifele is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,390).
Scheifele shoots right. Acciari is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,196).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Acciari
Home
48.9% (7,678)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
44.7% (7,574)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Scheifele
Acciari
P1
48.2%
52.3%
P2
45.6%
51.5%
P3
46.8%
50.2%
OT
42.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 08:30 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:30 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:42 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |