Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Zacha 51.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 87.8%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 59.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 75.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Scheifele
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Scheifele
Zacha
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Scheifele
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
6
Scheifele
Zacha
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (919)
53.0% (700)
-6.5%
Power Play
48.7% (187)
54.1% (109)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
39.2% (74)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Scheifele shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Zacha
Home
46.6% (605)
51.6% (438)
Away
47.4% (555)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Scheifele
Zacha
P1
52.3%
57.0%
P2
45.3%
48.9%
P3
43.9%
50.5%
OT
27.3%
42.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 14:38 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |